Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.251319 0.294814 0.346248 0.412295 0.495936 0.599829 0.741057
2025-02-09 0.188202 0.241671 0.313277 0.419265 0.577831 0.816512 1.225447
2025-02-16 0.153616 0.210377 0.293649 0.431288 0.667802 1.091107 2.005404
2025-02-23 0.130284 0.187208 0.276738 0.438363 0.750565 1.404405 3.187632
2025-03-02 0.113232 0.168957 0.261611 0.441548 0.826297 1.758452 4.990756
2025-03-09 0.099678 0.153277 0.246504 0.438941 0.888458 2.134514 7.665824
2025-03-16 0.088196 0.138903 0.230350 0.428843 0.928852 2.493826 11.397482
2025-03-23 0.081759 0.132148 0.226705 0.443882 1.041195 3.212883 20.715307
2025-03-30 0.073915 0.121624 0.213665 0.433733 1.079382 3.717116 32.770614
2025-04-06 0.068890 0.115612 0.208564 0.441172 1.177095 4.649274 64.821108
2025-04-13 0.063472 0.108123 0.199071 0.434882 1.227448 5.452801 122.037204
2025-04-20 0.059940 0.103870 0.195813 0.444354 1.343076 6.947425 338.141872
2025-04-27 0.057162 0.100875 0.195073 0.461582 1.508332 9.407768 1879.788437
2025-05-04 0.054288 0.097354 0.192595 0.473427 1.665412 12.589251 49805.375963
2025-05-11 0.051876 0.094513 0.191264 0.488741 1.858221 17.527903 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049362 0.091157 0.188134 0.497459 2.030408 23.907399 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046872 0.087584 0.183906 0.501336 2.184356 32.169205 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044333 0.083646 0.178165 0.498291 2.297142 41.775299 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041687 0.079223 0.170562 0.486380 2.342503 50.825840 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040389 0.077749 0.170645 0.504143 2.635603 82.584820 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038152 0.073900 0.163719 0.492155 2.681681 103.359305 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036787 0.071977 0.161916 0.500942 2.928297 167.176877 NaN
2025-07-06 0.035021 0.068954 0.156618 0.493512 3.020447 230.721201 NaN